
Player breakdown
Richie James
Middle Tenn. St. · 2018 Draft Class
5-10183 lbs7th round, 240th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
35%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | SFO | 13 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 130 | 14.4 | 1 | 10 |
| 2019 | SFO | 16 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 165 | 27.5 | 1 | 10.3 |
| 2020 | SFO | 11 | 7 | 35 | 23 | 394 | 17.1 | 1 | 35.8 |
| 2022 | NYG | 17 | 4 | 70 | 57 | 569 | 10 | 4 | 33.5 |
| 2023 | KAN | 9 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 114 | 11.4 | 0 | 12.7 |
| Career | 66 | 15 | 143 | 105 | 1,372 | 13.1 | 7 | 20.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 13 | 108 | 1,346 | 8 | 12.5 | 103.5 |
| 2016 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 13 | 105 | 1,625 | 12 | 15.5 | 125 |
| 2017 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 5 | 31 | 290 | 3 | 9.4 | 58 |
| Career | 31 | 244 | 3,261 | 23 | 13.4 | 105.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
33%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
+53.0 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.286
Recruit dominator synergy+0.280
Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.274
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.603
Physical production synergy-0.503
0.09 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.231