Player breakdown
Ricky Pearsall
Florida · 2024 Draft Class
6-1189 lbs1st round, 31st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
22%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | SFO | 11 | 4 | 46 | 31 | 400 | 12.9 | 3 | 36.4 |
| 2025 | SFO | 9 | 9 | 53 | 36 | 528 | 14.7 | 0 | 58.7 |
| Career | 20 | 13 | 99 | 67 | 928 | 13.9 | 3 | 46.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 13 | 7 | 128 | 0 | 18.3 | 9.8 |
| 2020 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 4 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 14.3 | 21.5 |
| 2021 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 13 | 48 | 580 | 4 | 12.1 | 44.6 |
| 2022 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 33 | 661 | 5 | 20 | 50.8 |
| 2023 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 65 | 965 | 4 | 14.8 | 80.4 |
| Career | 55 | 159 | 2,420 | 14 | 15.2 | 44.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
62%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.302
BMI 24.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (189 lbs)+0.218
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.85 — elite recruit at elite school+0.177
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.392
+10.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.546
Physical production synergy-0.491