Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ricky White
Ricky White

Player breakdown

Ricky White

UNLV · 2025 Draft Class

6-1184 lbs7th round, 238th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.2M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

14%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020Michigan StateBig Ten410223122.355.8
2022Nevada-Las VegasMWC1251619412.151.6
2023Nevada-Las VegasMWC14881,483816.9105.9
2024Nevada-Las VegasMWC13791,0411113.280.1
Career432283,3662414.878.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 24.3 — ideal frame for NFL WR (184 lbs)+0.212
0.59 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.172
Speed score 81.5 — below average weight-adjusted athleticism+0.139

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.581
Physical production synergy-0.550
Improvement accelerating (+5.7) — getting better faster each year-0.437

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)