Player breakdown
RJ Maryland
SMU · 2026 Draft Class
6-4236 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | SMU | American | 13 | 28 | 296 | 6 | 10.6 | 22.8 |
| 2023 | SMU | American | 14 | 34 | 518 | 7 | 15.2 | 37 |
| 2024 | SMU | ACC | 7 | 24 | 359 | 4 | 15 | 51.3 |
| 2025 | SMU | ACC | 12 | 27 | 322 | 2 | 11.9 | 26.8 |
| Career | 46 | 113 | 1,495 | 19 | 13.2 | 32.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 8% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.495
Recruit dominator synergy+0.481
BMI 28.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (236 lbs)+0.150
Top Negative Factors
+9.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.770
Physical production synergy-0.494
Accounted for 1.11 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.407