Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Robert Davis
Robert Davis

Player breakdown

Robert Davis

Georgia St. · 2017 Draft Class

6-3219 lbs6th round, 209th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
20192TM6352178.502.8
2019WAS3121111103.7
2019PHI32316602
Career126104348.502.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013Georgia StateSun Belt1244711416.259.3
2014Georgia StateSun Belt1250732214.661
2014MemphisAmerican318082.7
2015Georgia StateSun Belt1361980616.175.4
2016Georgia StateSun Belt1267968514.480.7
Career522233,3991715.265.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.450
Physical production synergy+0.351
BMI 27.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (219 lbs)+0.184

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.681
0.35 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.347
Accounted for 1.97 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.332

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)