Player breakdown
Robert Herron
Wyoming · 2014 Draft Class
5-9193 lbs6th round, 185th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | TAM | 8 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 9.7 | 1 | 7.3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Wyoming | MWC | 10 | 6 | 57 | 0 | 9.5 | 5.7 |
| 2011 | Wyoming | MWC | 12 | 43 | 379 | 3 | 8.8 | 31.6 |
| 2012 | Wyoming | MWC | 8 | 31 | 657 | 8 | 21.2 | 82.1 |
| 2013 | Wyoming | MWC | 12 | 72 | 932 | 9 | 12.9 | 77.7 |
| Career | 42 | 152 | 2,025 | 20 | 13.3 | 48.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
5.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.274
BMI 28.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.172
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.85x — route-running independent of system+0.167
Top Negative Factors
-6.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.766
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.751
Physical production synergy-0.566