Player breakdown
Rome Odunze
Washington · 2024 Draft Class
6-3212 lbs1st round, 9th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
EliteAll-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | CHI | 17 | 12 | 101 | 54 | 734 | 13.6 | 3 | 43.2 |
| 2025 | CHI | 12 | 12 | 90 | 44 | 661 | 15 | 6 | 55.1 |
| Career | 29 | 24 | 191 | 98 | 1,395 | 14.2 | 9 | 48.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Washington | Pac-12 | 4 | 6 | 72 | 0 | 12 | 18 |
| 2021 | Washington | Pac-12 | 9 | 41 | 415 | 4 | 10.1 | 46.1 |
| 2022 | Washington | Pac-12 | 12 | 75 | 1,145 | 7 | 15.3 | 95.4 |
| 2023 | Washington | Pac-12 | 15 | 92 | 1,640 | 13 | 17.8 | 109.3 |
| Career | 40 | 214 | 3,272 | 24 | 15.3 | 81.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
46%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.407
BMI 26.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (212 lbs)+0.254
Speed × production: 177.3 — elite combined athletic output+0.240
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.596
Improvement accelerating (+21.8) — getting better faster each year-0.367
68.2 yards per adjusted target opportunity — dominant efficiency vs. opportunities-0.163