Player breakdown
Ronald Johnson
USC · 2011 Draft Class
5-11199 lbs6th round, 182nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Kentucky | SEC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 |
| 2003 | Kentucky | SEC | 12 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 1.8 |
| 2004 | Kentucky | SEC | 9 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 2007 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 7 | 110 | 1 | 15.7 | 8.5 |
| 2008 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 33 | 570 | 8 | 17.3 | 43.8 |
| 2009 | USC | Pac-10 | 8 | 34 | 378 | 3 | 11.1 | 47.3 |
| 2010 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 64 | 692 | 8 | 10.8 | 53.2 |
| Career | 76 | 144 | 1,787 | 20 | 12.4 | 23.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
91%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.099
8.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.256
Recruit dominator synergy+0.205
Top Negative Factors
-17.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.770
Improvement accelerating (+5.3) — getting better faster each year-0.435
Accounted for 1.53 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.387