Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rondale Moore
Rondale Moore

Player breakdown

Rondale Moore

Purdue · 2021 Draft Class

5-7180 lbs2nd round, 49th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~26
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

74%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2021ARI14764544358.1131.1
2022ARI88564141410.1151.8
2023ARI17862403528.8120.7
Career39231821351,2018.9330.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018PurdueBig Ten131141,258121196.8
2019PurdueBig Ten429387213.396.8
2020PurdueBig Ten33527007.790
Career201781,9151410.895.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

79%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.589
Physical production synergy+0.396
+43.6 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.200

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.258
Efficiency composite: 0.64 — average combined efficiency-0.207
Team averaged 39.2 pass attempts/game — balanced offensive system-0.176

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)