Player breakdown
Stefon Diggs
Maryland · 2015 Draft Class
6-0195 lbs5th round, 146th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | MIN | 13 | 9 | 84 | 52 | 720 | 13.8 | 4 | 55.4 |
| 2016 | MIN | 13 | 11 | 112 | 84 | 903 | 10.8 | 3 | 69.5 |
| 2017 | MIN | 14 | 14 | 95 | 64 | 849 | 13.3 | 8 | 60.6 |
| 2018 | MIN | 15 | 14 | 149 | 102 | 1,021 | 10 | 9 | 68.1 |
| 2019 | MIN | 15 | 15 | 94 | 63 | 1,130 | 17.9 | 6 | 75.3 |
| 2020 | BUF | 16 | 15 | 166 | 127 | 1,535 | 12.1 | 8 | 95.9 |
| 2021 | BUF | 17 | 17 | 164 | 103 | 1,225 | 11.9 | 10 | 72.1 |
| 2022 | BUF | 16 | 16 | 154 | 108 | 1,429 | 13.2 | 11 | 89.3 |
| 2023 | BUF | 17 | 17 | 160 | 107 | 1,183 | 11.1 | 8 | 69.6 |
| 2024 | HOU | 8 | 8 | 64 | 47 | 496 | 10.6 | 3 | 62 |
| 2025 | NWE | 17 | 17 | 102 | 85 | 1,013 | 11.9 | 4 | 59.6 |
| Career | 161 | 153 | 1344 | 942 | 11,504 | 12.2 | 74 | 71.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Maryland | ACC | 11 | 54 | 848 | 6 | 15.7 | 77.1 |
| 2013 | Maryland | ACC | 7 | 34 | 587 | 3 | 17.3 | 83.9 |
| 2014 | Maryland | Big Ten | 10 | 62 | 792 | 5 | 12.8 | 79.2 |
| Career | 28 | 150 | 2,227 | 14 | 14.8 | 79.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
95%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.313
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.508
Physical production synergy+0.389
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.244
0.09 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.184
54 freshman catches — featured from day one-0.143