Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ronnie Bell
Ronnie Bell

Player breakdown

Ronnie Bell

Michigan · 2023 Draft Class

6-0191 lbs7th round, 253rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

76%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023SFO1701366811.334
2024SFO9062221102.4
2025NOR20422311.5111.5
Career280231011311.344.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013Georgia StateSun Belt1216060.5
2018MichiganBig Ten138145218.111.2
2019MichiganBig Ten1348758115.858.3
2020MichiganBig Ten626401115.466.8
2021MichiganBig Ten117617676
2022MichiganBig Ten1462889414.363.5
Career591462,275915.638.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

31%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

8

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.212
Recruit dominator synergy+0.551
BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (191 lbs)+0.199

Top Negative Factors

-6.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.764
0.19 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.453
Improvement accelerating (+5.1) — getting better faster each year-0.344

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)