Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Roscoe Parrish
Roscoe Parrish

Player breakdown

Roscoe Parrish

Miami (FL) · 2005 Draft Class

5-10168 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2005BUF10125151489.9114.8
2006BUF161402332013.9220
2007BUF163583535210.1122
2008BUF13145242329.7117.8
2009BUF120633411.302.8
2010BUF86533340012.1250
2011BUF2241161608
Career77142311341,50211.2719.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002Miami (FL)Big East1319340217.926.2
2003Miami (FL)Big East1124322213.429.3
2004Miami (FL)ACC1243693816.157.8
Career36861,3551215.837.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

59%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.045
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.230
BMI 24.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (168 lbs)+0.167

Top Negative Factors

-13.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Accounted for 1.87 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.389
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.363

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)