Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Roy Hall
Roy Hall

Player breakdown

Roy Hall

Ohio St. · 2007 Draft Class

6-3200 lbs5th round, 169th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008IND40419902.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2003Ohio StateBig Ten13669011.55.3
2004Ohio StateBig Ten1117230113.520.9
2005Ohio StateBig Ten101613408.413.4
2006Ohio StateBig Ten1113147211.313.4
Career4552580311.212.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

16%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.111
Recruit dominator synergy+0.495
5.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.251

Top Negative Factors

-41.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
0.07 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.466
Improvement accelerating (+2.3) — getting better faster each year-0.446

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)