Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Grant
Ryan Grant

Player breakdown

Ryan Grant

Tulane · 2014 Draft Class

6-0199 lbs5th round, 142nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

44%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014WAS162157689.704.3
2015WAS165422326811.7216.8
2016WAS161199768.404.8
2017WAS167654557312.7435.8
2018IND141052353349.5123.9
2019OAK2194143.507
Career80262021231,33310.8716.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001Notre DameInd52703.51.4
2002Notre DameInd1392202.41.7
2003Notre DameInd1296407.15.3
2004Notre DameInd965108.55.7
2009TulaneCUSA993914.34.3
2010TulaneCUSA1233515415.642.9
2011TulaneCUSA112712727
2012TulaneCUSA12761,149615.195.8
2013TulaneCUSA13771,039913.579.9
Career862222,9132113.133.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

43%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.280
Recruit dominator synergy+0.321
4.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.272

Top Negative Factors

+4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
Improvement accelerating (+28.5) — getting better faster each year-0.473
Physical production synergy-0.414

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)