Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Swope
Ryan Swope

Player breakdown

Ryan Swope

Texas A&M · 2013 Draft Class

6-0205 lbs6th round, 174th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

52%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009Texas A&MBig 12121917219.114.3
2010Texas A&MBig 121372825411.563.5
2011Texas A&MBig 1213891,2071113.692.8
2012Texas A&MSEC1372913812.770.2
Career512523,1172412.461.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

38%

ML model output

Context Prob

69%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.327
Physical production synergy+0.245
BMI 27.8 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (205 lbs)+0.231

Top Negative Factors

+5.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.715
Improvement accelerating (+6.0) — getting better faster each year-0.348
Recruit dominator synergy-0.231

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)