Player breakdown
Ryan Williams
Alabama · 2026 Draft Class
6-0178 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~39
High
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
69%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Air Force | MWC | 11 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 10.7 | 2.9 |
| 2006 | Air Force | MWC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 |
| 2007 | Air Force | MWC | 12 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 2 |
| 2009 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 13 | 16 | 180 | 1 | 11.3 | 13.8 |
| 2010 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 10 | 10 | 109 | 1 | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| 2012 | Navy | Ind | 13 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | Alabama | SEC | 13 | 48 | 865 | 8 | 18 | 66.5 |
| 2025 | Alabama | SEC | 14 | 49 | 689 | 4 | 14.1 | 49.2 |
| Career | 98 | 130 | 1,923 | 15 | 14.8 | 19.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
69%
ML model output
Context Prob
72%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 33% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.073
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.779
BMI 24.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (178 lbs)+0.228
Top Negative Factors
+5.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.737
Physical production synergy-0.425
Recruit dominator synergy-0.295