Player breakdown
Samie Parker
Oregon · 2004 Draft Class
4th round, 105th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
30%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | KAN | 4 | 0 | 13 | 9 | 137 | 15.2 | 1 | 34.3 |
| 2005 | KAN | 12 | 9 | 58 | 36 | 533 | 14.8 | 3 | 44.4 |
| 2006 | KAN | 16 | 15 | 68 | 41 | 561 | 13.7 | 1 | 35.1 |
| 2007 | KAN | 15 | 7 | 41 | 24 | 298 | 12.4 | 2 | 19.9 |
| Career | 47 | 31 | 180 | 110 | 1,529 | 13.9 | 7 | 32.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11 | 11 | 201 | 0 | 18.3 | 18.3 |
| 2001 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11 | 32 | 586 | 3 | 18.3 | 53.3 |
| 2002 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 13 | 49 | 724 | 8 | 14.8 | 55.7 |
| 2003 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 13 | 77 | 1,088 | 7 | 14.1 | 83.7 |
| Career | 48 | 169 | 2,599 | 18 | 15.4 | 54.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
85%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.06x — route-running independent of system+0.187
46.4 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities+0.135
3.5 catches/game — featured receiver+0.120
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.215
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.560
Physical production synergy-0.514