Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Savion Williams
Savion Williams

Player breakdown

Savion Williams

TCU · 2025 Draft Class

6-4222 lbs3rd round, 87th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2025GNB1201010787.816.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020Texas ChristianBig 12718081.1
2021Texas ChristianBig 127671011.810.1
2022Texas ChristianBig 121529392413.526.1
2023Texas ChristianBig 12114157341452.1
2024Texas ChristianBig 121260611610.250.9
Career521371,6551412.131.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.425
1.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.245
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.82x — route-running independent of system+0.179

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.349
-25.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.570
Physical production synergy-0.442

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)