Player breakdown
Scott Miller
Bowling Green · 2019 Draft Class
5-10170 lbs6th round, 208th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
49%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | TAM | 10 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 200 | 15.4 | 1 | 20 |
| 2020 | TAM | 16 | 5 | 53 | 33 | 501 | 15.2 | 3 | 31.3 |
| 2021 | TAM | 9 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | 0 | 4.2 |
| 2022 | TAM | 15 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 185 | 8 | 0 | 12.3 |
| 2023 | ATL | 17 | 0 | 16 | 11 | 161 | 14.6 | 2 | 9.5 |
| 2024 | PIT | 13 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 13.8 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 2025 | PIT | 13 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 6.9 | 0 | 4.8 |
| Career | 93 | 9 | 167 | 99 | 1,216 | 12.3 | 6 | 13.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Bowling Green | MAC | 10 | 7 | 29 | 0 | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| 2016 | Bowling Green | MAC | 12 | 74 | 968 | 10 | 13.1 | 80.7 |
| 2017 | Bowling Green | MAC | 12 | 63 | 722 | 4 | 11.5 | 60.2 |
| 2018 | Bowling Green | MAC | 11 | 71 | 1,148 | 9 | 16.2 | 104.4 |
| Career | 45 | 215 | 2,867 | 23 | 13.3 | 63.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
49%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.383
2.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.258
BMI 24.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (170 lbs)+0.194
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.626
Improvement accelerating (+38.6) — getting better faster each year-0.464
+12.4 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.280