Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Scotty McKnight
Scotty McKnight

Player breakdown

Scotty McKnight

Colorado · 2011 Draft Class

7th round, 227th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007ColoradoBig 121347555411.842.7
2008ColoradoBig 121246519511.343.3
2009ColoradoBig 121276893611.874.4
2010ColoradoBig 121250621712.451.8
Career492192,5882211.852.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

40%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.228
46.3 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities+0.146
No conference-adjusted speed data+0.120

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.444
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.537
Physical production synergy-0.410

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)