Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Sean Brown
Sean Brown

Player breakdown

Sean Brown

Duke · 2026 Draft Class

5-8160 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~44
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Louisiana-MonroeInd102224201124.2
2001Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt82725509.431.9
2002Louisiana-MonroeSun Belt331906.36.3
2022CharlotteCUSA419092.3
2023Jacksonville StateCUSA1319294515.522.6
2023CharlotteAmerican11331010.32.8
2023DukeACC221909.59.5
2024CharlotteAmerican1235470113.439.2
2024DukeACC1341445210.934.2
2024Jacksonville StateCUSA1311181316.513.9
2025DukeACC1464846513.260.4
2025CharlotteAmerican1236508114.142.3
Career1152643,3191712.628.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.307
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.184
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart+0.159

Top Negative Factors

-6.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.728
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.637
Improvement accelerating (+93.0) — getting better faster each year-0.530

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)