Player breakdown
Seth Williams
Auburn · 2021 Draft Class
6-3211 lbs6th round, 219th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~26
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | DEN | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 17 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Auburn | SEC | 13 | 26 | 534 | 5 | 20.5 | 41.1 |
| 2019 | Auburn | SEC | 12 | 59 | 830 | 8 | 14.1 | 69.2 |
| 2020 | Auburn | SEC | 11 | 47 | 760 | 4 | 16.2 | 69.1 |
| Career | 36 | 132 | 2,124 | 17 | 16.1 | 59.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.387
32.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.293
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (211 lbs)+0.248
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.459
+3.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.567
Efficiency consistency: 1.28 — highly consistent across seasons-0.240