Player breakdown
Shelton Gibson
West Virginia · 2017 Draft Class
5-11191 lbs5th round, 166th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
21%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | PHI | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 2.2 |
| 2018 | PHI | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 3.2 |
| Career | 20 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 19.7 | 0 | 3.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 15 | 5 |
| 2015 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 13 | 37 | 887 | 9 | 24 | 68.2 |
| 2016 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 13 | 43 | 951 | 8 | 22.1 | 73.2 |
| Career | 38 | 84 | 1,898 | 17 | 22.6 | 49.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
56%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
5.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.241
BMI 26.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (191 lbs)+0.220
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.208
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.521
-4.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.579
Improvement accelerating (+14.8) — getting better faster each year-0.503