Player breakdown
Shelton Sampson
Louisiana · 2026 Draft Class
6-4181 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~41
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
47%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Washington | Pac-10 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 1.5 |
| 2004 | Washington | Pac-10 | 11 | 5 | 103 | 0 | 20.6 | 9.4 |
| 2005 | Washington | Pac-10 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 |
| 2025 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 10 | 32 | 537 | 6 | 16.8 | 53.7 |
| Career | 37 | 42 | 672 | 6 | 16.0 | 18.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
49%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.834
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.250
Class YPR rank: top 14% — elite per-target efficiency+0.245
Top Negative Factors
+1.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.766
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.522
Physical production synergy-0.416