Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Simi Fehoko
Simi Fehoko

Player breakdown

Simi Fehoko

Stanford · 2021 Draft Class

6-3222 lbs5th round, 179th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022DAL504324804.8
2023LAC60219911.5
2024LAC8216610617.7013.3
Career192221013913.917.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018StanfordPac-12316062
2019StanfordPac-121224566623.647.2
2020StanfordPac-12637574315.595.7
Career21621,146918.554.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

29%

ML model output

Context Prob

53%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.091
2.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.275
Class YPR rank: top 18% — elite per-target efficiency+0.227

Top Negative Factors

-2.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.746
Physical production synergy-0.544
Improvement accelerating (+94.7) — getting better faster each year-0.369

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)