Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Sinorice Moss
Sinorice Moss

Player breakdown

Sinorice Moss

Miami (FL) · 2006 Draft Class

5-8185 lbs2nd round, 44th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006NYG6010525504.2
2007NYG132372122510.7017.3
2008NYG100151215312.8215.3
2009NYG8041181812.3
Career372663942110.8311.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002Miami (FL)Big East123300102.5
2003Miami (FL)Big East138111013.98.5
2004Miami (FL)ACC1120351317.631.9
2005Miami (FL)ACC1237614616.651.2
Career48681,106916.323.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

55%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.159
Recruit dominator synergy+0.470
2.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.262

Top Negative Factors

-29.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Improvement accelerating (+19.5) — getting better faster each year-0.552
Physical production synergy-0.469

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)