Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Stephen Hill
Stephen Hill

Player breakdown

Stephen Hill

Georgia Tech · 2012 Draft Class

6-4215 lbs2nd round, 43rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~35
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

79%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012NYJ118472125212322.9
2013NYJ1211592434214.3128.5
Career23191064559413.2425.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009Georgia TechACC136137122.810.5
2010Georgia TechACC1215291319.424.3
2011Georgia TechACC1328820529.363.1
Career38491,248925.532.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

43%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

9

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.164
Physical production synergy+0.446
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (215 lbs)+0.255

Top Negative Factors

-23.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
0.24 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.467
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.417

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)