Player breakdown
Stephon Johnson Jr.
Houston · 2026 Draft Class
6-2190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 10 | 17 | 293 | 2 | 17.2 | 29.3 |
| 2023 | Houston | Big 12 | 12 | 24 | 277 | 3 | 11.5 | 23.1 |
| 2024 | Houston | Big 12 | 11 | 32 | 402 | 2 | 12.6 | 36.5 |
| 2025 | Houston | Big 12 | 6 | 13 | 275 | 2 | 21.2 | 45.8 |
| Career | 39 | 86 | 1,247 | 9 | 14.5 | 32.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
34%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.361
Class YPR rank: top 21% — strong per-target efficiency+0.214
Improvement accelerating (+0.4) — getting better faster each year+0.188
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.564
-1.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.516
0.24 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.381