Player breakdown
Sterling Berkhalter
Wake Forest · 2026 Draft Class
6-3203 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
4%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 12 | 11 | 191 | 1 | 17.4 | 15.9 |
| 2025 | Wake Forest | ACC | 13 | 30 | 416 | 2 | 13.9 | 32 |
| Career | 25 | 41 | 607 | 3 | 14.8 | 24.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.452
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.261
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.225
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.146
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.398