Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Syndric Steptoe
Syndric Steptoe

Player breakdown

Syndric Steptoe

Arizona · 2007 Draft Class

5-9194 lbs7th round, 234th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008CLE16541191829.6011.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2003ArizonaPac-101297708.66.4
2004ArizonaPac-101030446314.944.6
2005ArizonaPac-101037493113.349.3
2006ArizonaPac-101255568210.347.3
Career441311,584612.136.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

24%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.207
Recruit dominator synergy+0.436
6.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.273

Top Negative Factors

-18.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.735
Physical production synergy-0.538
Improvement accelerating (+6.4) — getting better faster each year-0.518

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)