Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Taco Wallace
Taco Wallace

Player breakdown

Taco Wallace

Kansas St. · 2003 Draft Class

7th round, 224th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

41%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001Kansas StateBig 12121708.517
2002Kansas StateBig 121339704518.154.2
Career1441721517.651.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

40%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.186
Class YPR rank: top 22% — strong per-target efficiency+0.213
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.05x — route-running independent of system+0.205

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.731
Improvement accelerating (+40.4) — getting better faster each year-0.540
Physical production synergy-0.529

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)