Player breakdown
Tai Felton
Maryland · 2025 Draft Class
6-1183 lbs3rd round, 102nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
24%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MIN | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Maryland | Big Ten | 8 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 10.2 | 6.4 |
| 2022 | Maryland | Big Ten | 13 | 23 | 309 | 2 | 13.4 | 23.8 |
| 2023 | Maryland | Big Ten | 13 | 48 | 723 | 6 | 15.1 | 55.6 |
| 2024 | Maryland | Big Ten | 12 | 96 | 1,124 | 9 | 11.7 | 93.7 |
| Career | 46 | 172 | 2,207 | 17 | 12.8 | 48.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.219
6.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.258
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.223
Top Negative Factors
-4.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.721
Improvement accelerating (+21.0) — getting better faster each year-0.466
Physical production synergy-0.378