Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tandon Doss
Tandon Doss

Player breakdown

Tandon Doss

Indiana · 2011 Draft Class

6-2201 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2011BAL60200000
2012BAL14017712317.618.8
2013BAL152361930516.1020.3
Career352552642816.5112.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008IndianaBig Ten814186113.323.3
2009IndianaBig Ten1277962512.580.2
2010IndianaBig Ten1163706711.264.2
Career311541,8541312.059.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.85 — elite recruit at elite school+0.188
BMI 25.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (201 lbs)+0.179
45.9 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities+0.134

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.407
+3.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.549
Physical production synergy-0.402

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)