Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tavarres King
Tavarres King

Player breakdown

Tavarres King

Georgia · 2013 Draft Class

6-0189 lbs5th round, 161st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014TAM2032136.506.5
2016NYG7042502507.1
2017NYG83371824013.3330
Career173442230313.8317.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008GeorgiaSEC426603316.5
2009GeorgiaSEC1218377120.931.4
2010GeorgiaSEC1227504318.742
2011GeorgiaSEC144770581550.4
2012GeorgiaSEC1442950922.667.9
Career561362,6022119.146.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

86%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.150
BMI 25.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (189 lbs)+0.209
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.202

Top Negative Factors

-8.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.769
Improvement accelerating (+13.4) — getting better faster each year-0.472
Physical production synergy-0.359

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)