Player breakdown
Tavon Austin
West Virginia · 2013 Draft Class
5-8174 lbs1st round, 8th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 47NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | STL | 13 | 3 | 69 | 40 | 418 | 10.5 | 4 | 32.2 |
| 2014 | STL | 15 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 242 | 7.8 | 0 | 16.1 |
| 2015 | STL | 16 | 15 | 87 | 52 | 473 | 9.1 | 5 | 29.6 |
| 2016 | LAR | 15 | 15 | 106 | 58 | 509 | 8.8 | 3 | 33.9 |
| 2017 | LAR | 16 | 9 | 22 | 13 | 47 | 3.6 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 2018 | DAL | 7 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 140 | 17.5 | 2 | 20 |
| 2019 | DAL | 14 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 177 | 13.6 | 1 | 12.6 |
| 2020 | GNB | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 2021 | JAX | 13 | 3 | 37 | 24 | 213 | 8.9 | 1 | 16.4 |
| Career | 113 | 53 | 407 | 244 | 2,239 | 9.2 | 16 | 19.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | West Virginia | Big East | 13 | 15 | 151 | 1 | 10.1 | 11.6 |
| 2010 | West Virginia | Big East | 13 | 58 | 787 | 8 | 13.6 | 60.5 |
| 2011 | West Virginia | Big East | 13 | 101 | 1,186 | 8 | 11.7 | 91.2 |
| 2012 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 13 | 114 | 1,289 | 12 | 11.3 | 99.2 |
| Career | 52 | 288 | 3,413 | 29 | 11.9 | 65.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
49%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.00x — route-running independent of system+0.174
Speed score 98.1 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.151
0.56 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.150
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.614
Physical production synergy-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+7.5) — getting better faster each year-0.517