Player breakdown
Ted Hurst
Georgia State · 2026 Draft Class
6-4206 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 12 | 56 | 961 | 9 | 17.2 | 80.1 |
| 2025 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 12 | 71 | 1,004 | 6 | 14.1 | 83.7 |
| Career | 24 | 127 | 1,965 | 15 | 15.5 | 81.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
34%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.0) — getting better faster each year+0.495
0.62 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.204
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (206 lbs)+0.200
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.471
Physical production synergy-0.458
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.395