Player breakdown
Tejhaun Palmer
Ala-Birmingham · 2024 Draft Class
6-2210 lbs6th round, 191st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
18%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | UAB | CUSA | 12 | 6 | 72 | 0 | 12 | 6 |
| 2022 | UAB | CUSA | 13 | 30 | 479 | 2 | 16 | 36.8 |
| 2023 | UAB | American | 12 | 47 | 858 | 7 | 18.3 | 71.5 |
| Career | 37 | 83 | 1,409 | 9 | 17.0 | 38.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
44%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 15% — elite per-target efficiency+0.289
6.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.276
BMI 27.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (210 lbs)+0.183
Top Negative Factors
-17.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.758
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.637
Improvement accelerating (+10.9) — getting better faster each year-0.593