Player breakdown
Terrace Marshall Jr.
LSU · 2021 Draft Class
6-2205 lbs2nd round, 59th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~26
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
81%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | CAR | 13 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 138 | 8.1 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 2022 | CAR | 14 | 9 | 47 | 28 | 490 | 17.5 | 1 | 35 |
| 2023 | CAR | 9 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 139 | 7.3 | 0 | 15.4 |
| 2024 | LVR | 7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Career | 43 | 17 | 116 | 67 | 808 | 12.1 | 1 | 18.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 12 | 192 | 0 | 16 | 14.8 |
| 2019 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 46 | 671 | 13 | 14.6 | 55.9 |
| 2020 | LSU | SEC | 7 | 48 | 731 | 10 | 15.2 | 104.4 |
| Career | 32 | 106 | 1,594 | 23 | 15.0 | 49.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
48%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
8
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.220
0.72 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.241
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.225
Top Negative Factors
-6.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.725
Accounted for 1.74 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.422
Improvement accelerating (+2.8) — getting better faster each year-0.297