Player breakdown
Terrance Williams
Baylor · 2013 Draft Class
6-2208 lbs3rd round, 74th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
EliteAll-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
78%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | DAL | 16 | 8 | 74 | 44 | 736 | 16.7 | 5 | 46 |
| 2014 | DAL | 16 | 16 | 66 | 37 | 621 | 16.8 | 8 | 38.8 |
| 2015 | DAL | 16 | 13 | 93 | 52 | 840 | 16.2 | 3 | 52.5 |
| 2016 | DAL | 16 | 15 | 61 | 44 | 594 | 13.5 | 4 | 37.1 |
| 2017 | DAL | 16 | 14 | 78 | 53 | 568 | 10.7 | 0 | 35.5 |
| 2018 | DAL | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| Career | 83 | 68 | 375 | 232 | 3,377 | 14.6 | 20 | 40.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | UCF | Ind | 11 | 14 | 167 | 0 | 11.9 | 15.2 |
| 2007 | San Jose State | WAC | 12 | 8 | 73 | 1 | 9.1 | 6.1 |
| 2008 | San Jose State | WAC | 11 | 22 | 288 | 2 | 13.1 | 26.2 |
| 2009 | San Jose State | WAC | 5 | 11 | 164 | 0 | 14.9 | 32.8 |
| 2009 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 20.3 | 5.1 |
| 2010 | Baylor | Big 12 | 13 | 43 | 484 | 4 | 11.3 | 37.2 |
| 2011 | Baylor | Big 12 | 13 | 59 | 957 | 11 | 16.2 | 73.6 |
| 2012 | Baylor | Big 12 | 13 | 97 | 1,832 | 12 | 18.9 | 140.9 |
| Career | 90 | 257 | 4,026 | 30 | 15.7 | 44.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
47%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.002
BMI 26.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (208 lbs)+0.252
5.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.238
Top Negative Factors
+9.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.699
Physical production synergy-0.592
Improvement accelerating (+24.1) — getting better faster each year-0.438