Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Terrence Austin
Terrence Austin

Player breakdown

Terrence Austin

UCLA · 2010 Draft Class

5-11175 lbs7th round, 219th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010WAS50534715.709.4
2011WAS130261213711.4010.5
Career180311518412.3010.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006UCLAPac-109229014.53.2
2007UCLAPac-101317248014.619.1
2008UCLAPac-10125346018.738.3
2009UCLAPac-101337455412.335
Career471091,192510.925.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

3.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.241
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.191
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart+0.147

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.169
Improvement accelerating (+14.9) — getting better faster each year-0.578
-26.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.559

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)