Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tevin Reese
Tevin Reese

Player breakdown

Tevin Reese

Baylor · 2014 Draft Class

5-10163 lbs7th round, 240th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

68%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2010BaylorBig 12134540108.930.8
2011BaylorBig 121351877717.267.5
2012BaylorBig 121353957918.173.6
2013BaylorBig 12838867822.8108.4
Career471873,1022416.666.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

76%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.208
Recruit dominator synergy+0.539
BMI 23.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (163 lbs)+0.229

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.316
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.316
+14.7 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.263

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)