Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tiquan Underwood
Tiquan Underwood

Player breakdown

Tiquan Underwood

Rutgers · 2009 Draft Class

6-1184 lbs7th round, 253rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

58%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010JAX10022811113.9011.1
2011NWE6063301005
2012TAM143552842515.2230.4
2013TAM127462444018.3436.7
Career4210129631,00616.0624.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2005RutgersBig East12447011.83.9
2006RutgersBig East1223290412.624.2
2007RutgersBig East13651,100716.984.6
2008RutgersBig East1340494512.438
Career501321,9311614.638.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

58%

ML model output

Context Prob

58%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.266
Physical production synergy+0.412
3.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.284

Top Negative Factors

-13.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.754
Improvement accelerating (+22.4) — getting better faster each year-0.400
0.32 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.348

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)