Player breakdown
T.J. Graham
North Carolina St. · 2012 Draft Class
5-11188 lbs3rd round, 69th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | BUF | 16 | 6 | 58 | 23 | 361 | 15.7 | 2 | 22.6 |
| 2014 | NYJ | 12 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 87 | 29 | 1 | 7.3 |
| 2015 | NOR | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Career | 32 | 7 | 70 | 30 | 472 | 15.7 | 3 | 14.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 16 | 251 | 0 | 15.7 | 19.3 |
| 2009 | North Carolina State | ACC | 7 | 12 | 129 | 1 | 10.8 | 18.4 |
| 2010 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 25 | 316 | 4 | 12.6 | 24.3 |
| 2011 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 46 | 757 | 7 | 16.5 | 58.2 |
| 2018 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 10 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 31 | 3.1 |
| 2019 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 12 | 28 | 353 | 4 | 12.6 | 29.4 |
| 2020 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 12 | 24 | 271 | 2 | 11.3 | 22.6 |
| 2021 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 12 | 20 | 290 | 3 | 14.5 | 24.2 |
| Career | 92 | 172 | 2,398 | 21 | 13.9 | 26.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
11%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.217
Recruit dominator synergy+0.482
BMI 26.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.216
Top Negative Factors
-22.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.756
0.26 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.476
Accounted for 1.63 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.411