Player breakdown
T.J. Jones
Notre Dame · 2014 Draft Class
6-0188 lbs6th round, 189th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
36%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | DET | 10 | 0 | 18 | 10 | 132 | 13.2 | 1 | 13.2 |
| 2016 | DET | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 93 | 18.6 | 0 | 31 |
| 2017 | DET | 14 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 399 | 13.3 | 1 | 28.5 |
| 2018 | DET | 15 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 190 | 10 | 2 | 12.7 |
| 2019 | NYG | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12.7 | 1 | 12.7 |
| Career | 45 | 9 | 111 | 67 | 852 | 12.7 | 5 | 18.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 2.7 |
| 2010 | Notre Dame | Ind | 12 | 23 | 306 | 3 | 13.3 | 25.5 |
| 2011 | Notre Dame | Ind | 13 | 38 | 366 | 3 | 9.6 | 28.2 |
| 2012 | Notre Dame | Ind | 13 | 50 | 649 | 4 | 13 | 49.9 |
| 2013 | Notre Dame | Ind | 13 | 70 | 1,108 | 9 | 15.8 | 85.2 |
| Career | 57 | 182 | 2,445 | 19 | 13.4 | 42.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
18%
ML model output
Context Prob
68%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.264
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.207
Speed score 95.0 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.164
Top Negative Factors
-6.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.727
Physical production synergy-0.587
Improvement accelerating (+2.6) — getting better faster each year-0.376