Player breakdown
Tommy McIntosh
Central Michigan · 2026 Draft Class
6-5210 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Central Michigan | MAC | 9 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | Central Michigan | MAC | 13 | 31 | 422 | 3 | 13.6 | 32.5 |
| Career | 22 | 33 | 437 | 3 | 13.2 | 19.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
38%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.424
1.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.283
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.190
Top Negative Factors
-36.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.729
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.639
Improvement accelerating (+27.1) — getting better faster each year-0.532