Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tony Freeman
Tony Freeman

Player breakdown

Tony Freeman

Washington State · 2026 Draft Class

5-8171 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Washington StateInd138125015.69.6
2025Washington StateInd1354590310.945.4
Career2662715311.527.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

41%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.401
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.203
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.05x — route-running independent of system+0.171

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.202
-24.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.540
Improvement accelerating (+3.7) — getting better faster each year-0.475

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)