Player breakdown
Tray Taylor
Troy · 2028 Draft Class
6-1173 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
5%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 13 | 18 | 262 | 1 | 14.6 | 20.2 |
| 2025 | Troy | Sun Belt | 14 | 30 | 499 | 3 | 16.6 | 35.6 |
| Career | 27 | 48 | 761 | 4 | 15.9 | 28.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.281
Class YPR rank: top 10% — elite per-target efficiency+0.237
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.189
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.535
+8.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.512
0.21 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.357