Player breakdown
Trebor Pena
Penn State · 2026 Draft Class
5-11180 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~24
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.5M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Syracuse | ACC | 8 | 1 | -1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | Syracuse | ACC | 7 | 2 | 69 | 1 | 34.5 | 9.9 |
| 2022 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | 22 | 203 | 0 | 9.2 | 18.5 |
| 2024 | Syracuse | ACC | 13 | 84 | 941 | 9 | 11.2 | 72.4 |
| 2025 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 49 | 552 | 2 | 11.3 | 42.5 |
| Career | 52 | 158 | 1,764 | 12 | 11.2 | 33.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
26%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.165
Recruit dominator synergy+0.446
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.208
Top Negative Factors
-9.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.717
Improvement accelerating (+942.0) — getting better faster each year-0.504
0.15 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.445