Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trell Harris
Trell Harris

Player breakdown

Trell Harris

Virginia · 2026 Draft Class

6-0200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022Kent StateMAC813136110.517
2023Kent StateMAC1126399115.336.3
2024VirginiaACC415221214.755.3
2025VirginiaACC1359847514.465.2
Career361131,603914.244.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.454
BMI 27.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (200 lbs)+0.192
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.183

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.409
+8.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.698
Improvement accelerating (+5.2) — getting better faster each year-0.477

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)