Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trent Taylor
Trent Taylor

Player breakdown

Trent Taylor

Louisiana Tech · 2017 Draft Class

5-8181 lbs5th round, 177th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

46%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2017SFO151604343010228.7
2018SFO14041262158.3115.4
2020SFO1212110868.607.2
2021CIN40324120.5010.3
2022CIN1611066210.303.9
2023CHI170200000
2024SFO2011111105.5
Career803138888459.6310.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013Louisiana TechCUSA102826029.326
2014Louisiana TechCUSA146483491359.6
2015Louisiana TechCUSA13991,282912.998.6
2016Louisiana TechCUSA141361,8031213.3128.8
Career513274,1793212.881.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

47%

ML model output

Context Prob

40%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.385
+29.8 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.249
Accounted for 3.32 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.242

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.643
Improvement accelerating (+5.9) — getting better faster each year-0.500
Physical production synergy-0.395

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)